What is the current probability for "Baez vs Hurkacz"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Baez vs Hurkacz": Hubert Hurkacz 71%, Sebastian Baez 30% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/7/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG23BAEHUR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Baez vs Hurkacz

·Sports·ends Sep 7, 2026

vol cum

$32.3k

vol 24h

$32.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 7, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Hubert Hurkacz

rank #1

71¢

▲ 71.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$30.5k

vol 24h

$30.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 7, 2026

If Hubert Hurkacz wins the Baez vs Hurkacz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Cancun Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 23, 2026opencloses · Sep 7, 2026

Hubert Hurkacz · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.