What is the current probability for "Arnaboldi vs Bondioli"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Arnaboldi vs Bondioli": Federico Bondioli 61%, Federico Arnaboldi 40% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 13, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG30ARNBON. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Arnaboldi vs Bondioli

·Sports·ends Sep 13, 2026

vol cum

$13.5k

vol 24h

$13.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Federico Bondioli

rank #1

61¢

▼ 7.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$383

vol 24h

$382

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 13, 2026

If Federico Bondioli wins the Arnaboldi vs Bondioli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Como Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 29, 2026opencloses · Sep 13, 2026

Federico Bondioli · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.