What is the current probability for "Schoen vs Arias"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Schoen vs Arias": Patrick Schoen 99%, Boris Arias 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 13, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG30SCHARI. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Schoen vs Arias

·Sports·ends Sep 13, 2026

vol cum

$47.4k

vol 24h

$46.8k

outcomes

ends

Sep 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Patrick Schoen

rank #1

99¢

▲ 11.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$19k

vol 24h

$19k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 13, 2026

If Patrick Schoen wins the Schoen vs Arias professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Porto Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 30, 2026opencloses · Sep 13, 2026

Patrick Schoen · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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