What is the current probability for "Varillas vs Kumstat"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Varillas vs Kumstat": Jan Kumstat 75%, Juan Pablo Varillas 26% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 13, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG30VARKUM. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Varillas vs Kumstat

·Sports·ends Sep 13, 2026

vol cum

$18.7k

vol 24h

$16.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Jan Kumstat

rank #1

75¢

▼ 8.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.2k

vol 24h

$4.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 13, 2026

If Jan Kumstat wins the Varillas vs Kumstat professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Como Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 29, 2026opencloses · Sep 13, 2026

Jan Kumstat · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.