What is the current probability for "Carballes Baena vs Vives Marcos"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Carballes Baena vs Vives Marcos": Pedro Vives Marcos 59%, Roberto Carballes Baena 41% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 14, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG31CARVIV. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Carballes Baena vs Vives Marcos

·Sports·ends Sep 14, 2026

vol cum

$62k

vol 24h

$56k

outcomes

ends

Sep 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Pedro Vives Marcos

rank #1

59¢

▲ 59.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$35.6k

vol 24h

$33.6k

spread

0.03

ends

Sep 14, 2026

If Pedro Vives Marcos wins the Carballes Baena vs Vives Marcos professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Porto Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 30, 2026opencloses · Sep 14, 2026

Pedro Vives Marcos · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.