What is the current probability for "Heide vs Marques"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Heide vs Marques": Gustavo Heide 99%, Goncalo Marques 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 14, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG31HEIMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Heide vs Marques

·Sports·ends Sep 14, 2026

vol cum

$736.2k

vol 24h

$736.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Gustavo Heide

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 11.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$291.4k

vol 24h

$291.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 14, 2026

If Gustavo Heide wins the Heide vs Marques professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Porto Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 31, 2026closedresolved · Aug 31, 2026

Gustavo Heide · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.