What is the current probability for "Paldanius vs Marrero Curbelo"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Paldanius vs Marrero Curbelo": Oskari Paldanius 58%, Ivan Marrero Curbelo 44% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 14, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG31PALMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Paldanius vs Marrero Curbelo

·Sports·ends Sep 14, 2026

vol cum

$11.6k

vol 24h

$11.6k

outcomes

ends

Sep 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Oskari Paldanius

rank #1

58¢

▲ 58.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$11.5k

vol 24h

$11.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 14, 2026

If Oskari Paldanius wins the Paldanius vs Marrero Curbelo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Manacor Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 30, 2026opencloses · Sep 14, 2026

Oskari Paldanius · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.