What is the current probability for "Bondioli vs Schwaerzler"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Bondioli vs Schwaerzler": Joel Schwaerzler 81%, Federico Bondioli 20% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/19/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL05BONSCH. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Bondioli vs Schwaerzler

·Sports·ends Jul 19, 2026

vol cum

$31.6k

vol 24h

$30.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 19, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Joel Schwaerzler

rank #1

81¢

▲ 20.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$18.8k

vol 24h

$18.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 19, 2026

If Joel Schwaerzler wins the Bondioli vs Schwaerzler professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Trieste Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 4, 2026opencloses · Jul 19, 2026

Joel Schwaerzler · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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