What is the current probability for "Varillas vs Fernandez"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Varillas vs Fernandez": Bruno Fernandez 68%, Juan Pablo Varillas 33% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/20/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL06VARFER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Varillas vs Fernandez

·Sports·ends Jul 20, 2026

vol cum

$514.7k

vol 24h

$417.3k

outcomes

ends

Jul 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Bruno Fernandez

rank #1

68¢

▲ 40.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$266.8k

vol 24h

$235.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 20, 2026

If Bruno Fernandez wins the Varillas vs Fernandez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bogota Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 6, 2026opencloses · Jul 20, 2026

Bruno Fernandez · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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