What is the current probability for "Damas vs Bailly"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Damas vs Bailly": Gilles Arnaud Bailly 69%, Miguel Damas 33% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/22/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL08DAMARN. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Damas vs Bailly

·Sports·ends Jul 22, 2026

vol cum

$11.1k

vol 24h

$10.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

rank #1

69¢

▲ 69.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$6.4k

vol 24h

$6.1k

spread

0.10

ends

Jul 22, 2026

If Gilles Arnaud Bailly wins the Damas vs Bailly professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Liege Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 8, 2026opencloses · Jul 22, 2026

Gilles Arnaud Bailly · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.