What is the current probability for "Basing vs Castelnuovo"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Basing vs Castelnuovo": Max Basing 86%, Luca Castelnuovo 14% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/23/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL09BASCAS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Basing vs Castelnuovo

·Sports·ends Jul 23, 2026

vol cum

$668.8k

vol 24h

$601.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 23, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Max Basing

rank #1

86¢

▲ 86.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$379.8k

vol 24h

$331.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 23, 2026

If Max Basing wins the Basing vs Castelnuovo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Nottingham 3 Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 8, 2026opencloses · Jul 23, 2026

Max Basing · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.