What is the current probability for "Matsuoka vs Moriya"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Matsuoka vs Moriya": Hayato Matsuoka 67%, Hiroki Moriya 38% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL14MATMOR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Matsuoka vs Moriya

·Sports·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$70k

vol 24h

$43k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Hayato Matsuoka

rank #1

67¢

▲ 67.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$37.1k

vol 24h

$22.5k

spread

0.06

ends

Jul 28, 2026

If Hayato Matsuoka wins the Matsuoka vs Moriya professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Lincoln (NE) Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 14, 2026opencloses · Jul 28, 2026

Hayato Matsuoka · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Matsuoka vs Moriya

·Sports·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$70k

vol 24h

$43k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Hayato Matsuoka

rank #1

67¢

▲ 67.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$37.1k

vol 24h

$22.5k

spread

0.06

ends

Jul 28, 2026

If Hayato Matsuoka wins the Matsuoka vs Moriya professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Lincoln (NE) Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 14, 2026opencloses · Jul 28, 2026

Hayato Matsuoka · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.