What is the current probability for "Sun vs Gea"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Sun vs Gea": Arthur Gea 86%, Fajing Sun 18% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL14SUNGEA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Sun vs Gea

·Sports·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$75.4k

vol 24h

$70k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Arthur Gea

rank #1

86¢

▲ 86.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$20.4k

vol 24h

$17.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 28, 2026

If Arthur Gea wins the Sun vs Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Granby Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 14, 2026opencloses · Jul 28, 2026

Arthur Gea · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.