What is the current probability for "Arseneault vs Marinkov"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Arseneault vs Marinkov": Mikael Arseneault 99%, Pavle Marinkov 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/2/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL19ARSMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Arseneault vs Marinkov

·Sports·ends Aug 2, 2026

vol cum

$391.8k

vol 24h

$391.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 2, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mikael Arseneault

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 58.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$152.1k

vol 24h

$152.1k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 2, 2026

If Mikael Arseneault wins the Arseneault vs Marinkov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Winnipeg Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 19, 2026closedresolved · Jul 19, 2026

Mikael Arseneault · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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