What is the current probability for "Michelsen vs Mayo"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Michelsen vs Mayo": Alex Michelsen 91%, Aidan Mayo 10% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/4/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL21MICMAY. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Michelsen vs Mayo

·Sports·ends Aug 4, 2026

vol cum

$175k

vol 24h

$173.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Alex Michelsen

rank #1

91¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$43.4k

vol 24h

$43.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 4, 2026

If Alex Michelsen wins the Michelsen vs Mayo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bloomfield Hills Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 21, 2026opencloses · Aug 4, 2026

Alex Michelsen · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.