What is the current probability for "Friend vs Samuel"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Friend vs Samuel": Jay Friend 99%, Toby Samuel 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/12/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL29HARSAM. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Friend vs Samuel

·Sports·ends Aug 12, 2026

vol cum

$1.8M

vol 24h

$1.8M

outcomes

ends

Aug 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Jay Friend

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 66.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$944.6k

vol 24h

$944.6k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 12, 2026

If Jay Friend wins the Friend vs Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Vancouver Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 29, 2026closedresolved · Jul 30, 2026

Jay Friend · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.