What is the current probability for "Staeheli vs Hernandez-Aguila"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Staeheli vs Hernandez-Aguila": Luca Staeheli 97%, Abel Hernandez-Aguila 5% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/12/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUN28STAHER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Staeheli vs Hernandez-Aguila

·Sports·ends Jul 12, 2026

vol cum

$34.7k

vol 24h

$25.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Luca Staeheli

rank #1

97¢

▲ 97.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$33.6k

vol 24h

$25k

spread

0.02

ends

Jul 12, 2026

If Luca Staeheli wins the Staeheli vs Hernandez-Aguila professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Troyes Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 27, 2026opencloses · Jul 12, 2026

Luca Staeheli · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.