What is the current probability for "Varillas vs Popko"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Varillas vs Popko": Juan Pablo Varillas 80%, Dmitry Popko 19% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/13/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUN29VARPOP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Varillas vs Popko

·Sports·ends Jul 13, 2026

vol cum

$1.2M

vol 24h

$949.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Juan Pablo Varillas

rank #1

80¢

▲ 80.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$793.4k

vol 24h

$613.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 13, 2026

If Juan Pablo Varillas wins the Varillas vs Popko professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Quito Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 29, 2026opencloses · Jul 13, 2026

Juan Pablo Varillas · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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