What is the current probability for "Mayo vs Smith"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Mayo vs Smith": Colton Smith 63%, Aidan Mayo 38% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 15, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26OCT01MAYSMI. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Mayo vs Smith

·Sports·ends Oct 15, 2026

vol cum

$256.4k

vol 24h

$211.7k

outcomes

ends

Oct 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Colton Smith

rank #1

63¢

▲ 63.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$179.4k

vol 24h

$166.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 15, 2026

If Colton Smith wins the Mayo vs Smith professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Columbus Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 1, 2026opencloses · Oct 15, 2026

Colton Smith · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.