What is the current probability for "Donald vs Krumich"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Donald vs Krumich": Martin Krumich 85%, Matthew William Donald 14% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 16, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26OCT02DONKRU. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Donald vs Krumich

·Sports·ends Oct 16, 2026

vol cum

$885.8k

vol 24h

$844.3k

outcomes

ends

Oct 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Martin Krumich

rank #1

85¢

▲ 17.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$320.7k

vol 24h

$299.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 16, 2026

If Martin Krumich wins the Donald vs Krumich professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bari Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 2, 2026opencloses · Oct 16, 2026

Martin Krumich · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.