What is the current probability for "Erhard vs Tarvet"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Erhard vs Tarvet": Oliver Tarvet 99%, Mathys Erhard 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 18, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26OCT04ERHTAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Erhard vs Tarvet

·Sports·ends Oct 18, 2026

vol cum

$124.5k

vol 24h

$124.5k

outcomes

ends

Oct 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Oliver Tarvet

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$88.6k

vol 24h

$88.6k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 18, 2026

If Oliver Tarvet wins the Erhard vs Tarvet professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Villena Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 3, 2026closedresolved · Oct 4, 2026

Oliver Tarvet · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.