What is the current probability for "Siniakov vs Rapagnetta"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Siniakov vs Rapagnetta": Daniel Siniakov 99%, Daniele Rapagnetta 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 18, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26OCT04SINRAP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Siniakov vs Rapagnetta

·Sports·ends Oct 18, 2026

vol cum

$175.8k

vol 24h

$175.8k

outcomes

ends

Oct 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Daniel Siniakov

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$123.5k

vol 24h

$123.5k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 18, 2026

If Daniel Siniakov wins the Siniakov vs Rapagnetta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Palermo Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 3, 2026closedresolved · Oct 4, 2026

Daniel Siniakov · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.