What is the current probability for "Barton vs Nesterov"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Barton vs Nesterov": Pyotr Nesterov 99%, Hynek Barton 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 19, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26OCT05BARNES. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Barton vs Nesterov

·Sports·ends Oct 19, 2026

vol cum

$67.6k

vol 24h

$67.6k

outcomes

ends

Oct 19, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Pyotr Nesterov

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$40.5k

vol 24h

$40.5k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 19, 2026

If Pyotr Nesterov wins the Barton vs Nesterov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Villena Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 4, 2026closedresolved · Oct 5, 2026

Pyotr Nesterov · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.