What is the current probability for "Aguiard vs Matsuoka"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Aguiard vs Matsuoka": Hayato Matsuoka 54%, Enzo Aguiard 51% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 15, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP01AGUMAT. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Aguiard vs Matsuoka

·Sports·ends Sep 15, 2026

vol cum

$76.3k

vol 24h

$57.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Hayato Matsuoka

rank #1

54¢

▲ 54.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$43.6k

vol 24h

$29.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 15, 2026

If Hayato Matsuoka wins the Aguiard vs Matsuoka professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Zhangjiagang Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 31, 2026opencloses · Sep 15, 2026

Hayato Matsuoka · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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