What is the current probability for "Nesterov vs Milev"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Nesterov vs Milev": Pyotr Nesterov 59%, Yanaki Milev 41% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 15, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP01NESMIL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Nesterov vs Milev

·Sports·ends Sep 15, 2026

vol cum

$545.1k

vol 24h

$495.9k

outcomes

ends

Sep 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Pyotr Nesterov

rank #1

59¢

▲ 59.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$305.4k

vol 24h

$283.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 15, 2026

If Pyotr Nesterov wins the Nesterov vs Milev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Plovdiv 3 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Sep 15, 2026

Pyotr Nesterov · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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