What is the current probability for "Kawahashi vs Bastola"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Kawahashi vs Bastola": Yuta Kawahashi 98%, Abhishek Bastola 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 20, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP06KAWBAS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Kawahashi vs Bastola

·Sports·ends Sep 20, 2026

vol cum

$115.4k

vol 24h

$115.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Yuta Kawahashi

rank #1

98¢

▲ 98.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$28k

vol 24h

$28k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 20, 2026

If Yuta Kawahashi wins the Kawahashi vs Bastola professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Phan Thiet 3 Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 5, 2026opencloses · Sep 20, 2026

Yuta Kawahashi · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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