What is the current probability for "Nakamura vs Liu"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Nakamura vs Liu": Hanyi Liu 99%, Ren Nakamura 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 20, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP06NAKLIU. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Nakamura vs Liu

·Sports·ends Sep 20, 2026

vol cum

$17.6k

vol 24h

$17.6k

outcomes

ends

Sep 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Hanyi Liu

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$10.2k

vol 24h

$10.2k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 20, 2026

If Hanyi Liu wins the Nakamura vs Liu professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Shanghai Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 5, 2026closedresolved · Sep 6, 2026

Hanyi Liu · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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