What is the current probability for "Holmgren vs Ursu"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Holmgren vs Ursu": Vadym Ursu 52%, August Holmgren 50% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 21, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP07HOLURS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Holmgren vs Ursu

·Sports·ends Sep 21, 2026

vol cum

$335.3k

vol 24h

$270.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Vadym Ursu

rank #1

52¢

▲ 52.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$163.9k

vol 24h

$128.3k

spread

0.02

ends

Sep 21, 2026

If Vadym Ursu wins the Holmgren vs Ursu professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Istanbul 3 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 6, 2026opencloses · Sep 21, 2026

Vadym Ursu · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.