What is the current probability for "Marrero Curbelo vs Kasnikowski"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Marrero Curbelo vs Kasnikowski": Maks Kasnikowski 99%, Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 21, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP07MARKAS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Marrero Curbelo vs Kasnikowski

·Sports·ends Sep 21, 2026

vol cum

$270.2k

vol 24h

$270.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Maks Kasnikowski

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$121.9k

vol 24h

$121.9k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 21, 2026

If Maks Kasnikowski wins the Marrero Curbelo vs Kasnikowski professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Istanbul 3 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 6, 2026closedresolved · Sep 7, 2026

Maks Kasnikowski · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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