What is the current probability for "Matsuoka vs Delaney"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Matsuoka vs Delaney": Hayato Matsuoka 85%, Jake Delaney 16% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 21, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP07MATDEL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Matsuoka vs Delaney

·Sports·ends Sep 21, 2026

vol cum

$136.4k

vol 24h

$40.9k

outcomes

ends

Sep 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Hayato Matsuoka

rank #1

85¢

▲ 85.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$71.1k

vol 24h

$10.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 21, 2026

If Hayato Matsuoka wins the Matsuoka vs Delaney professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Shanghai Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 6, 2026opencloses · Sep 21, 2026

Hayato Matsuoka · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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