What is the current probability for "Jones vs Moriya"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Jones vs Moriya": Maximus Jones 59%, Hiroki Moriya 43% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 23, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP08JONMOR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Jones vs Moriya

·Sports·ends Sep 23, 2026

vol cum

$16.6k

vol 24h

$15.8k

outcomes

ends

Sep 23, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Maximus Jones

rank #1

59¢

▲ 59.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$3.7k

vol 24h

$3.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 23, 2026

If Maximus Jones wins the Jones vs Moriya professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Phan Thiet 3 Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 8, 2026opencloses · Sep 23, 2026

Maximus Jones · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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