What is the current probability for "Napolitano vs Travaglia"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Napolitano vs Travaglia": Stefano Travaglia 78%, Stefano Napolitano 23% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 22, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP08NAPTRA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Napolitano vs Travaglia

·Sports·ends Sep 22, 2026

vol cum

$150.2k

vol 24h

$113.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Stefano Travaglia

rank #1

78¢

▲ 78.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$65.2k

vol 24h

$57.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 22, 2026

If Stefano Travaglia wins the Napolitano vs Travaglia professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Genoa Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 8, 2026opencloses · Sep 22, 2026

Stefano Travaglia · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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