What is the current probability for "Varillas vs Arnaboldi"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Varillas vs Arnaboldi": Juan Pablo Varillas 99%, Federico Arnaboldi 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 22, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP08VARARN. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Varillas vs Arnaboldi

·Sports·ends Sep 22, 2026

vol cum

$1.5M

vol 24h

$1.5M

outcomes

ends

Sep 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Juan Pablo Varillas

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$818.2k

vol 24h

$818.2k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 22, 2026

If Juan Pablo Varillas wins the Varillas vs Arnaboldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Genoa Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 7, 2026closedresolved · Sep 8, 2026

Juan Pablo Varillas · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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