What is the current probability for "Tomic vs Ivashka"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Tomic vs Ivashka": Ilya Ivashka 59%, Bernard Tomic 42% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 24, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP10TOMIVA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Tomic vs Ivashka

·Sports·ends Sep 24, 2026

vol cum

$11.2k

vol 24h

$11.1k

outcomes

ends

Sep 24, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Ilya Ivashka

rank #1

59¢

▲ 59.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$9.3k

vol 24h

$9.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 24, 2026

If Ilya Ivashka wins the Tomic vs Ivashka professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Shanghai Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 9, 2026opencloses · Sep 24, 2026

Ilya Ivashka · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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