What is the current probability for "Donald vs Oradini"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Donald vs Oradini": Giovanni Oradini 95%, Matthew William Donald 5% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 27, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP13DONORA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Donald vs Oradini

·Sports·ends Sep 27, 2026

vol cum

$407.7k

vol 24h

$394.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 27, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Giovanni Oradini

rank #1

95¢

▲ 95.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$220.3k

vol 24h

$211.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 27, 2026

If Giovanni Oradini wins the Donald vs Oradini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Biella Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 12, 2026opencloses · Sep 27, 2026

Giovanni Oradini · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.