What is the current probability for "Basile vs Martin Manzano"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Basile vs Martin Manzano": Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 99%, Pierluigi Basile 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 29, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP15BASMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Basile vs Martin Manzano

·Sports·ends Sep 29, 2026

vol cum

$126.2k

vol 24h

$126.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 29, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$79.4k

vol 24h

$79.3k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 29, 2026

If Juan Cruz Martin Manzano wins the Basile vs Martin Manzano professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Biella Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 15, 2026closedresolved · Sep 15, 2026

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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