What is the current probability for "Derepasko vs Simakin"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Derepasko vs Simakin": Ilia Simakin 73%, Timofei Derepasko 27% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 29, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP15DERSIM. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Derepasko vs Simakin

·Sports·ends Sep 29, 2026

vol cum

$85.3k

vol 24h

$71.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 29, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Ilia Simakin

rank #1

73¢

▲ 73.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$28.6k

vol 24h

$24.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 29, 2026

If Ilia Simakin wins the Derepasko vs Simakin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Phan Thiet 4 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 14, 2026opencloses · Sep 29, 2026

Ilia Simakin · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.