What is the current probability for "Noce vs Rottoli"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Noce vs Rottoli": Lorenzo Rottoli 99%, Gabriele Maria Noce 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 4, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP20NOCROT. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Noce vs Rottoli

·Sports·ends Oct 4, 2026

vol cum

$83.1k

vol 24h

$82.9k

outcomes

ends

Oct 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Lorenzo Rottoli

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$25.9k

vol 24h

$25.7k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 4, 2026

If Lorenzo Rottoli wins the Noce vs Rottoli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Genoa 2 Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 20, 2026closedresolved · Sep 20, 2026

Lorenzo Rottoli · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history