What is the current probability for "Nijboer vs Juan Mano"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Nijboer vs Juan Mano": Ryan Nijboer 95%, Alejandro Juan Mano 5% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 5, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP21NIJJUA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Nijboer vs Juan Mano

·Sports·ends Oct 5, 2026

vol cum

$22.8k

vol 24h

$20.1k

outcomes

ends

Oct 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Ryan Nijboer

rank #1

95¢

▲ 95.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$17k

vol 24h

$15.9k

spread

0.02

ends

Oct 5, 2026

If Ryan Nijboer wins the Nijboer vs Juan Mano professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Genoa 2 Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 20, 2026opencloses · Oct 5, 2026

Ryan Nijboer · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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