What is the current probability for "Chazal vs Schwaerzler"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Chazal vs Schwaerzler": Maxime Chazal 91%, Joel Schwaerzler 8% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 6, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP22CHASCH. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Chazal vs Schwaerzler

·Sports·ends Oct 6, 2026

vol cum

$1.1M

vol 24h

$997.2k

outcomes

ends

Oct 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Maxime Chazal

rank #1

91¢

▲ 91.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$442.6k

vol 24h

$377.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 6, 2026

If Maxime Chazal wins the Chazal vs Schwaerzler professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Plovdiv 4 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026opencloses · Oct 6, 2026

Maxime Chazal · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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