What is the current probability for "Donald vs Cadenasso"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Donald vs Cadenasso": Matthew William Donald 51%, Gianluca Cadenasso 49% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 6, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP22DONCAD. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Donald vs Cadenasso

·Sports·ends Oct 6, 2026

vol cum

$360.8k

vol 24h

$314.9k

outcomes

ends

Oct 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Matthew William Donald

rank #1

51¢

▲ 51.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$106.2k

vol 24h

$95.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 6, 2026

If Matthew William Donald wins the Donald vs Cadenasso professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Genoa 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 22, 2026opencloses · Oct 6, 2026

Matthew William Donald · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.