What is the current probability for "Mashtakov vs Mrva"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Mashtakov vs Mrva": Maxim Mrva 90%, Nikita Mashtakov 10% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 6, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP22MASMRV. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Mashtakov vs Mrva

·Sports·ends Oct 6, 2026

vol cum

$26.9k

vol 24h

$22.7k

outcomes

ends

Oct 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Maxim Mrva

rank #1

90¢

▲ 90.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$20.2k

vol 24h

$17.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 6, 2026

If Maxim Mrva wins the Mashtakov vs Mrva professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Plovdiv 4 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026opencloses · Oct 6, 2026

Maxim Mrva · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.