What is the current probability for "Arnaboldi vs Iannaccone"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Arnaboldi vs Iannaccone": Federico Iannaccone 79%, Federico Arnaboldi 23% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 11, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP27ARNIAN. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Arnaboldi vs Iannaccone

·Sports·ends Oct 11, 2026

vol cum

$28.7k

vol 24h

$22.2k

outcomes

ends

Oct 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Federico Iannaccone

rank #1

79¢

▲ 79.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$6.2k

vol 24h

$5k

spread

0.02

ends

Oct 11, 2026

If Federico Iannaccone wins the Arnaboldi vs Iannaccone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bari Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 26, 2026opencloses · Oct 11, 2026

Federico Iannaccone · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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