What is the current probability for "Geerts vs Orlov"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Geerts vs Orlov": Michael Geerts 87%, Vladyslav Orlov 13% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 11, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP27GEEORL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Geerts vs Orlov

·Sports·ends Oct 11, 2026

vol cum

$336k

vol 24h

$275.8k

outcomes

ends

Oct 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Michael Geerts

rank #1

87¢

▲ 87.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$140.1k

vol 24h

$117.7k

spread

0.03

ends

Oct 11, 2026

If Michael Geerts wins the Geerts vs Orlov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Porto 2 Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 27, 2026opencloses · Oct 11, 2026

Michael Geerts · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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