What is the current probability for "Geerts vs Domingues"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Geerts vs Domingues": Michael Geerts 69%, Joao Domingues 35% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 12, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP28GEEDOM. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Geerts vs Domingues

·Sports·ends Oct 12, 2026

vol cum

$929.5k

vol 24h

$890.9k

outcomes

ends

Oct 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Michael Geerts

rank #1

69¢

▲ 69.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$727.8k

vol 24h

$700k

spread

0.03

ends

Oct 12, 2026

If Michael Geerts wins the Geerts vs Domingues professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Porto 2 Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 28, 2026opencloses · Oct 12, 2026

Michael Geerts · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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