What is the current probability for "Carlos Alcaraz to play in the US Open"?

"Yes" is currently 95% (+3pp in the last 24h) on Kalshi, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 10/7/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCOMPETE-26USOALC. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Carlos Alcaraz to play in the US Open

·Sports

95%

▲ 3.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$247.3k

vol 24h

$17.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 7, 2026

Yes 95¢

No 5¢

If Carlos Alcaraz competes in the 2026 US Open men's singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

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timeline

opened · Jul 13, 2026opencloses · Oct 7, 2026

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