What is the current probability for "Medvedev vs Gaston"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Medvedev vs Gaston": Daniil Medvedev 92%, Hugo Gaston 8% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/13/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPMATCH-26AUG30MEDGAS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Medvedev vs Gaston

·Sports·ends Sep 13, 2026

vol cum

$11.1k

vol 24h

$10.9k

outcomes

ends

Sep 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Daniil Medvedev

rank #1

92¢

▲ 92.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.3k

vol 24h

$2.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 13, 2026

If Daniil Medvedev wins the Medvedev vs Gaston professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 28, 2026opencloses · Sep 13, 2026

Daniil Medvedev · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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