What is the current probability for "Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic: Set 1 Winner": Marin Cilic 99%, Sho Shimabukuro 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/16/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG02SHICIL-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Aug 16, 2026

vol cum

$92.6k

vol 24h

$92.1k

outcomes

ends

Aug 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Marin Cilic

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 46.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$61k

vol 24h

$60.9k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 16, 2026

If Marin Cilic wins set 1 in the Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Montreal Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 2, 2026closedresolved · Aug 4, 2026

Marin Cilic · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.