What is the current probability for "Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic: Set 1 Winner": Frances Tiafoe 57%, Marin Cilic 44% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/18/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG04TIACIL-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Aug 18, 2026

vol cum

$66.2k

vol 24h

$56k

outcomes

ends

Aug 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Frances Tiafoe

rank #1

57¢

▲ 57.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$25k

vol 24h

$20.4k

spread

0.10

ends

Aug 18, 2026

If Frances Tiafoe wins set 1 in the Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Montreal Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 4, 2026opencloses · Aug 18, 2026

Frances Tiafoe · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.