What is the current probability for "Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi: Set 1 Winner": Fabian Marozsan 59%, Matteo Arnaldi 39% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/19/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG05MARARN-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Aug 19, 2026

vol cum

$55.7k

vol 24h

$53.5k

outcomes

ends

Aug 19, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Fabian Marozsan

rank #1

59¢

▲ 59.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$22.7k

vol 24h

$21.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 19, 2026

If Fabian Marozsan wins set 1 in the Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Montreal Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 4, 2026opencloses · Aug 19, 2026

Fabian Marozsan · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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